Quant Test 105
Directions for Questions from 1 to 4:
The following question is based on a decision-making situation that is described. Attempt the question that follow and blacken the corresponding space on
your answer sheet.
Ram Kumar, an overworked executive in Delhi, has to decide on the travel plan for attending his
friend’s marriage in Ajmer, Rajasthan. Barely managing to get leave from his boss, he has to make sure that he reaches at least on the day of the
marriage. Since it has been quite some time since he got a break, he also planned to visit a few tourist spots so that he could de-stress himself
after a year of demanding executive work-life.
As per his plan, Ram would start from Delhi. He would first pay a visit to Bharatpur bird sanctuary
where he would stay in the forest guest house for sometime. After that he planned to visit Jodhpur and would do some sightseeing for a day or
two. From Jodhpur, he would travel to Jaipur and spend few days visiting different places in the city. After that he would make a move towards
Ajmer where his friend’s marriage would take place.
Bharatpur can be reached from Delhi by bus, taxi or train. The probabilities of reaching the destination on time by each mode of travel, Ram
reasoned based on his experience of travelling extensively in India, were 0.65, 0.75 and 0.9 respectively. All three modes of travel require 12 hours.
From Bharatpur to Jodhpur he could opt for travel by train, bus or private taxi with the corresponding probabilities of 0.9, 0.8 and 0.85. The travel
time, he reasoned, would be 12 hours by train, 16 hours by bus and 14 hours by taxi.
Jaipur can be reached from Jodhpur by either by a flight, train, bus or taxi with the corresponding
probabilities of reaching on time 0.85, 0.9, 0.65 and 0.7 respectively. The flight would take 2 hours, while the train would entail 10 hours; the travel
by bus and taxi would take the same time of 15 hours.
The last leg of the journey to Ajmer could be covered by train, bus or taxi with respective probabil