A Dynamic Model of
Human Populations
Abstract
The world is becoming better interconnected.
As more and more people in developing
countries seek to live in economically secure
ones, less and less people stay in their own.
This constantly changing flux of movement
highlights just how important understanding
the dynamics of human population is. This
project attempts to analyze and understand the
growths of a population and the migrations of
people across the world. Through
understanding how human populations
develop, we can predict changes in the future.
Introduction
The human population of the world is now at 6
billion and counting. It is constantly growing,
constantly moving. To even try to use human
power to analyze all of this data would require
thousands of people and thousands of hours of
man power to complete. By using computers,
we can drastically cut down on the man power
needed.
This project can be useful for a great variety of
problems. Most prominently, the US takes a
census report every ten years. But every
decade in between, the census department
uses the data gathered to estimate population
values. A dynamic model such as the one this
project would achieve would be invaluable in
assisting their efforts.
Background
Because population is such an
important topic, there is a huge amount of
research done on the topic, be it similar
population predictions, analysis of human
carrying capacities, or other factors
involved such as urbanization and
globalization.
Procedure
This project works by calculating a
population growth rate value using population
data for a certain group. First, it starts from
the states level. Then, it moves on to the
entire US, in which it obtains the growth rate
for each and every state. It takes those rates,
displays a graphical representation of the
growing population with it, and calculates the
growth rate of population for the entire country.
A migration factor has also been factored into
the project.
By Joshua Choi
TJHSST Co