Interviews with 1,033 adult Americans conducted by telephone
by Opinion Research Corporation on January 9-10, 2008. The
margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is
plus or minus 3 percentage points.
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, JANUARY 11 At 4 PM
1
-1-
January 9-10, 2008
BASED ON 397 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS.
2.
Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for President. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former
Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, California Congressman Duncan Hunter, Arizona Senator John
McCain, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former
Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson? (RANDOM ORDER)
Registered Republicans
Jan.
Dec.
Nov.
9-10
6-9
2-4
2008
2007
2007
McCain
34%
13%
16%
Huckabee
21%
22%
10%
Giuliani
18%
24%
28%
Romney
14%
16%
11%
Thompson
6%
10%
19%
Paul
5%
6%
5%
Hunter
1%
2%
4%
No opinion
2%
6%
5%
Oct.
Sep.
Aug.
June
May
Apr.
Mar.
Jan.
12-14
7-9
6-8
22-24
4-6
10-12
9-11
19-21
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
McCain
17%
15%
16%
19%
24%
24%
19%
27%
Huckabee
5%
5%
3%
2%
3%
1%
2%
1%
Giuliani
27%
28%
29%
31%
25%
30%
38%
35%
Romney
13%
11%
12%
11%
11%
10%
10%
8%
Thompson
19%
27%
22%
21%
15%
12%
N/A
N/A
Paul
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
Hunter
3%
1%
*
*
2%
*
*
1%
No opinion
11%
8%
10%
10%
8%
13%
17%
16%
1
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January 9-10, 2008
BASED ON 397 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS.
3.
Just your best guess… regardless of who you support, which Republican candidate do you think is
most likely to win the Republican nomination for president this year?
Jan 9-10
Oct.12-14
2008
2007
McCain
45%
13%
Huckabee
18%
1%
Romney
18%
9%
Giuliani
15%
50%
Paul
2%
1%
Hunter
*
*
Thompson
*
11%
No opinion
2%
11%
4.
Next I'm going to read the names of some of those cand