EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE UNTIL WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 28, 2009 9am EDT
A survey of Virginians conducted by the Center for Public Policy
Cary Funk, Survey Director and Associate Professor,
Center for Public Policy, Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs
Phone 804 827 1212 Cell 703 286 9439/
VCU POLL SHOWS MCDONNELL WITH STRONG LEAD OVER DEEDS,
PERCEPTIONS OF CANDIDATE IDEOLOGY DIFFER BY VOTE
In the final days of the gubernatorial campaign, Robert McDonnell holds an 18‐point margin over his
Democratic opponent, Creigh Deeds among likely voters1 in Virginia; 54% of likely voters support or lean
to McDonnell, 36% support or lean to Deeds. A 56% majority of independents say they will vote for or
lean to McDonnell while 29% of independents say they will vote for or lean to Deeds. Both candidates
do well with rank‐and‐file members of their respective political parties. Fully 92% of Republicans support
McDonnell, 5% support Deeds. Similarly, 81% of Democrats support Deeds, 10% support McDonnell.
McDonnell holds a lead in all regions of the state.
These findings are part of a new statewide survey conducted by Virginia Commonwealth University. The
Commonwealth Poll was conducted by landline and cell telephone from October 21‐25, 2009 with a
random sample of 1,007 adults in Virginia. The survey includes 871 registered voters and 625 likely
voters. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points for all adults and registered
voters, respectively, and plus or minus 5 percentage points for likely voters.
1 Likely voters is based on an index of six items: being registered to vote, intention to vote, attention to the campaign, past vote
in any election, past vote in the 2005 gubernatorial election, and frequency of voting.
Gubernatorial Vote 2009
lean to McDonnell
lean to Deeds