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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Please see Important Disclosures for additional information.
O
ctober 2016
Contents
1. Highlights
2. Tactical Allocation
3. Global Economic Outlook
4. Global Equity
5. Global Fixed Income
6. Non-Traditional Strategy
Performance Summary
Publication Details
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Please see Important Disclosures for additional information.
SunTrust Investment Insights | October 2016
2
Highlights
Markets have proved fiercely resilient in the first nine months of the year,
despite various storm clouds seemingly swirling by the day. As we enter
the final quarter, the US election will be front and center, as will the
direction of global central bank policy; this will exacerbate market
swings and we expect to see at least one market hiccup before year end.
However, global recession risk appears low and the typical harbingers of
the end of a bull market are largely absent. Global yields are recovering
post-Brexit but we expect them to remain Lower for Longer.
Economy
The usual summer doldrums did little to improve the prospects of global
economic growth, which remain underwhelming and below potential.
While we maintain that a global recession does not appear to be in the
cards, the lack of obvious growth catalysts persists globally. Moreover, the
complexities of politics and global central bank policy are at a crossroads.
Equity
Despite the ongoing carousel of concerns, global equity markets have
continued to move higher. As we enter the final quarter of the year,
central bank policy action, US elections, and Italy’s referendum will
come into focus. These events will likely lead to increased price
fluctuations and at least one market setback. Still, the underlying
market trends remain positive, global recession risks remain low, and the
fourth quarter historically has tended to be one of the strongest periods
of the year. Thus, the bull market, albeit aged and less power